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Table 6

Results from the estimation of the GARCH (1,1) model.

Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Estimated coefficient Mean equation
μ 0.011799 0.01036 0.0097
Estimated coefficient Variance equation
α 0 0.001907** 0.002064 0.002093
α 1 0.304584* 0.2440** 0.2705**
δ 1 0.524868* 0.5621* 0.5402*
Δ(Industrial production) −0.0005 −0.0005
Δ(3M T−Int. Rate) 0.0005
*

Statistically significant estimate at the 5% level of significance.

**

Statistically significant estimate at the 10% level of significance. Sample (adjusted): May 2005 - December 2014.

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